Monday, 27 May 2013

STD DEKTEK – Naya Rade


MASTERING THE HUNT

2 weeks ago I played a Selesnya deck to a 4-0-1 victory.
Last week Huntsmaster of the Fells sat me down for a one-on-one.

“So… do we have a problem here, Carl?”
“Ummm what do you mean Mr. Huntsmaster, sir?”
“You haven’t summoned me in months. I’ve just been sitting here in your binder squashed between Prime Speaker Zegana and Auriela the Warleader. Do you know what it’s like having to listen to them debate between who’s cuter between Gatekeeper of Malakir and Master of the Pearl Trident?
“Doesn’t seem that bad. I mean, obviously it’s Gatekeeper since I’m not into seafood…”
*SIGH* “You’re missing the point. When you need life, who gets it for you?”
“… Thragtusk?”
“NO! ME YOU DUMMY! I get you life! And when you need to burn out an annoying Silverblade Paladin, who do you call?”
“… Mizzium Mortars?”
“My but you’re thick. ME! YOU CALL ME! I DO EVERYTHING!!”
“Everything except show up in my deck, that is?”
“… Sick burn, bro. You’re a stone cold basilisk.”

On that note (and to stop Huntsmasters constant nagging and whining. I mean damn, I’ve got a fiancĂ©e to blah blah blah  in my ear if that’s what I wanted!) it was time to 4-0-1 with a Naya deck again!


CARL SZALICH’S NAYA RADE DECK

Creatures (33)

4 Avacyn’s Pilgrim
3 Arbor Elf
3 Voice of Resurgence (only had 3)
3 Loxodon Smiter
4 Boros Reckoner
3 Restoration Angel
4 Huntsmaster of the Fells
2 Hellrider
4 Thragtusk
2 Thundermaw Hellkite
1 Aurelia, the Warleader

Seems pretty self-explanatory. Mash all the best creatures together and call it a deck. No need to use any brain power or creativity. Just human centipede together a few Tusks, Huntsmasters, and Angels and tell them to feed!

I find that having 6-7 1-drop accelerators are pretty key for a deck like this one. You need to keep applying threats as quickly as possible to both combat faster aggro and try and do a little damage before control closes the doors on you. It also lets me run a low number of 2-drops because I can skip right to the 3-drops on T2.

The thing I really like about this deck is that it’s good against the field and doesn’t have many bad matchups. Against aggro you’ve got built in life gain all over the place (Thrag / Huntsmaster + Resto) and lots of “value blockers” (Smiter / Reckoner). Against control you’ve got a ton of “must answers” and hasty creatures that let you roll out one or two baddies that threaten to end the game on their own if not answered AND you’ve got main deck Voice. In all honesty, the only cards I DON’T want to see off the top are my mana dorks, as every other card is a bomb.

Planeswalkers (3)

3 Domri Rade

I finally got to try him out, and he wasn’t half as bad as I’d expected! Most of the time it was a T2 or T3 fatty followed by Domri -2 to fight. Elephants love the arena… but not as much as Minotaurs! That was a nice little combo I hadn’t even thought of until it happened.

When Domri wasn’t telling his peeps to brawl he was quietly gaining me card advantage or (more often than not) diddling himself in his uselessness. I’d like to say that with my > 50% worth of creatures that I was hitting a draw at least half the time, but alas, math isn’t concrete and the fates were cruel. Most of the time I just got to see the land I was going to be drawing next turn.

It’s all about the fight club for our friend Domri.

This build did cause me to think that I was trying to be too “cute”, and sacrificed some power just to try out Domri since I ran no spells. In the future I’d probably cut Domri so that I can play Advent of the Wurm and some main deck removal (probably Mizzium Mortars). Sorry Dom. :(

Lands (24)

1 Kessig Wolf Run
1 Gavony Township
4 Stomping Grounds
4 Rootbound Craig
4 Temple Garden
3 Sunpetal Grove
4 Sacred Foundry
3 Clifftop Retreat
 
These are lands, I tap them for mana.
Sometimes I don’t draw them, then I lose.
Sometimes I draw too many, then I lose.
 

HUNTSMASTER SAYS…

“Well there you go. Another victory. And you know who you’ve got to thank for it?”
“Domri Rade?!”
“Ummm you know I read the part about how you’d cut him for Advent of the Wurm, right?”
“Oh yea! I must have meant Aurelia, the Warleader!!”
*FACE PALM*

 
Cheers all,

Carl Szalich
@Psilence6K on Twitter

Monday, 29 April 2013

Dear UltraPro

Dear UltraPro,


I feel our little love affair has been on the rocks. I as always came to you first when I had the need to sleeve, but when I finished doing the dirty I looked upon the unholy thing I’d bedded and was disgusted.

What manner of abomination is this? The sleeves aren’t even close!

Huge difference in size, what happened?
Are these even the same brand?
Obvious when on top of each other.
And is this a magic deck or a piano?


And this wasn’t the first time; it’s just the first time I’m bringing it up. If we’re going to stay in this relationship, we need to be able to be honest with each other, hence this note.

I feel there’s been a slow but steady decline in your product, baby. I used to split a sleeve a month, but now it’s a couple a week. I don’t think I’m being too rough with you… I’m a lover not a fighter, you know that. But really, what is happing down in that quality control room of yours to even think I’d be ok with the size differences between every pack of 100? You know I’ll end up disqualified for having marked cards were I to play them that way? I mean damn baby, I know they’re big, but you barely cover them entirely anymore! I’ll bet little flakes of skin and table excrement are getting all up into my cards with their tops exposed like that!

Seriously though honey, something’s got to change or I don’t know if we’re going to make it.

First, you may want to talk with your boss and let him know that I’m not the only one who’s noticed you’ve lost that swagger in your step, that twinkle in your eye. Others are telling me that “Dragon Shields are more durable and stylish”. I think people who like Dragon Shields are all anarchists, hipsters, or Macintosh users so you can’t trust ‘em anyways.

Secondly, I’d appreciate the actual serviceable product that I’m used to receiving from you like when we first started dating. Remember back when you used to wear makeup and do your hair to impress me? You’re obviously the one I want to be with, but there’s no ring on my finger,  I’m still a free man to choose the sleeves I feel will fit best... but I hope that’s with you.

I think back to all the good times we’ve had, and I don’t want them to end…

* Navigating through mountains of Ultra Pro 9 Page Pocket Protectors!

* Protecting the endangered Warlord Saga of the Storms Decks!

* Sleeving decks so expensive you don't even want to play with them!

 
* And THE CUBE! Containing the full Power 9 + others of repute!


Requested: Black Deck Protector Sleeves in Standard Size OR something incredibly awesome a geek would like from the dark catacombs of your UltraPro Vaults. This would hopefully allow me enough card sleeves of the same size to re-sleeve my magic decks, as they’re the ones most impacted by the recent size inconsistencies. If I wanted to un-sleeve cards to shift them between decks, I wouldn’t have been buying all of the same color (black) and size (standard) for years.


We’ve built some great memories, let’s keep building more (and more decks!) together.

Please send any product to:

Carl Szalich
XXX
London, Ontario
XXX
Canada
cszalich at hotmail dot com
Tel: XXX


(PS: I took out the ingredients for meatloaf tonight and I’m hoping you could make it the way your mom does? It was really good last time we had it. I don’t know what spices she used but I’ve been thinking about it for weeks now…)

Friday, 5 April 2013

WMCQ (World Magic Cup Qualifier) Info!

Yea yea, we’ll get down to business and discuss the WMCQs (World Magic Cup Qualifiers) in a bit, but first you have to deal with some babbling!

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As I write this I'm at home, sick, missing my second straight FNM in a row. I can't even remember the last time that's happened. I don’t play often throughout the week, so it's really the only chance I get to try out my new decks. Not that I’ve been brewing anything insanely innovative lately, but I definitely miss hanging with my homies and slingin’ some cardboard.

I’m on my third “Hot Toddy” of the day and think I may be becoming slightly inebriated, but they are the only things that seem to really help me fight the seemingly never-ending battle vs. this cold. If you’ve never tried the cure all remedy that is a “Hot Toddy”, you should brew one up the next time you’re feeling sick!


HOT TODDY RECIPE

Lemon Juice
Honey
Whiskey
Boiling Water

… That’s it! Even if you’re the worst cook in the world you can easily cast (for W, obv!) one of these healing potions on yourself. If you’re under-age, then just exclude the whiskey and it will still work just fine.


RUMOR MILL: YES, I’M ENGAGED!

(Warning: There is some profanity in this link!)
“Game over man, GAME OVER!!”

Well I finally asked my girlfriend of over 2 years, Amanda Provily, to marry me. I dressed in an awesome Green Lantern cosplay outfit and used lines like:

“You’re the Lois Lane to my Superman. The Mary-Jane Watson to my Spider-man.”

And this little golden nugget I’m especially proud of:

“Will you help me defend Space Sector 2814? Will you marry me?”

Despite the icing that was originally proposing with a Pink Lantern Ring… she said yes!!

BOOM!!! I got to propose the way every fanboy ever dreamed and instead of her slapping a tooth out of my face she said yes! I’m a lucky man… it remains to be seen if she’ll consider herself “lucky” with my strange tendencies and penchant for the dramatic in a few years :P.

Fine, I’ll post a pic of her REAL ring because I know you’re all dying to see what I had to pawn my future for. (#humblebrags)


… In related news I’ll be selling another chunk of my magic card collection to help pay this bad-boy down, so stay tuned for a list! Lol


FINALLY. LET’S DISCUSS WMCQs… DID I QUALIFY?

To be honest, I had no idea what they were before I found out I’d qualified. The name sounds so fancy that I just figured I didn’t. BUT those useless PlanesWalker Points finally had some relevance, and my sordid history of magic playing extravagance finally paid dividends!

Did you qualify? Maybe, like me, you did and had no idea! Here’s a link to WotCs qualification list: http://www.wizards.com/wpn/News/Article.aspx?x=2013_03_01_WMCQ

Basically, if you’re Canadian, you needed to accrue 500 PlanesWalker points this season to qualify. It may be easier to just punch in your DCI number here to see how many you’ve got because following those links literally leads to a huge wall of text and it hurt my fragile and delicate fingers to scroll down all the way: http://www.wizards.com/Magic/PlaneswalkerPoints.

I had 633 points and my buddy Paul Dobbs just squeeked in there with 501 points! That’s right… had he lost 1 more game instead of winning, he’d only have had 498 points! Just goes to show you that every tournament counts if you’re actually aiming to qualify for these things… so missing 2x in a row like I just did would be very bad if you had big dreams of crushing opponents on a world stage.


WHAT IS IT? WHAT ARE THESE FABLED WMCQs?

Here’s a nice little clip direct from the WotC website:
http://www.wizards.com/Magic/TCG/Events.aspx?x=mtg/event/worldmagiccup/qualifiers

“If you dream of playing in the international World Magic Cup, you'll want to start here. Each selected country will run three World Magic Cup Qualifiers, with the winner of each earning an invitation to the World Magic Cup.”

So there are three tournaments, and the winner of each moves on to represent their country at the “World Magic Cup”. These qualifiers are all “Standard Constructed Format” with a cut to top 8.


WHAT’S THE WHERE / WHEN?

Here’s a link to where all the WMCQs will be held:
http://www.wizards.com/Magic/TCG/Events.aspx?x=mtg/event/worldmagiccup/qualifierlist

For us Canadians, the relevant info is:

April 06, 2013
Magic Stronghold Games
5558 Lane St
Burnaby, BC
sales@magicstronghold.com

That’s tomorrow! I hope you BC peeps are ready!

April 20, 2013
Western Primrose Hotel
111 Carleton St.
Toronto, ON
401games@bellnet.ca

This is the one that I may be able to attend :).

June 01, 2013
Hotel Espresso
1005 Rue Guy
Montreal, QC
gamekeeperverdun@gmail.com

And the final date goes to Quebec.


LET’S SAY I GO… WHAT CAN I WIN?

And what do we have for them Vanna? A BRAND NEW CAR!!
… Kidding! But even if I wasn’t, you know you’d get stuck with a Prius :P

All participants get a pretty savage looking Foil Vengevine:


If you TOP 8 you get a placemat:


And if you win the whole thing you get (drumroll please):

An invitation and AIRFARE to compete on your national team at the 2013 World Cup!

There are also prizes determined by the organizer of each event. So you’ll probably also end up with a couple packs or booster boxes if you do well.

(Geez, it’s almost impossible to rephrase their wording off the website. Lucky my old geography teacher Mr. Roy isn’t going to fail me for plagiarism!)


GOOD LUCK – HIGH 5!

And that’s really all there is to it!

The key points being:

1)      Did I qualify?
2)      Where / when am I going to play?

And I guess we can’t forget #3

3)      … What deck will I bring?

Hopefully the results of this weekend’s set of tournaments and this blog will help you decide!


Cheers,

Carl Szalich
@psilence6k on Twitter

Thursday, 21 March 2013

To pay (for FNM), or not to pay?


Inspired by a raging Facebook debate about the merits and pitfalls of charging entry fees for Friday Night Magic (FNM), I’ve decided to write my opinions in a more cohesive manner. I think there are a lot more factors than just the dollar value of an entry fee that make people for or against a small nominal fee to enjoy the game they love at their local gaming store (LGS).


IT’S NOT CONCEIT, IT’S EXPERIENCE

First a little bit about me so you know where I’m coming from: I’m no “droolie”. I have a lot of cards (in fact, I just picked up my 2nd Library of Alexandria today… score!), and I’m more than capable of winning a local FNM, and do so frequently. I’m not normally willing to travel so don’t compete in as many “real competitive” tournaments as I’d like to, but even at the medium level tournaments like Game Day I placed 3-4th at Worlds Away and 2nd at LA Mood in an environment when people brought their “A” game. I guess what I’m saying is that I’m a decent player with the full card pool available, so I’m not writing this from the point of view of someone who’s just starting out and only has an event deck in their arsenal. I’ve been playing Magic for 17 years, hell, I’d BETTER be at least “OK” by this point!

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SIDEBAR: Damn, did anyone else know about the band “Imaginary Dragons”? They are REALLY good! I can’t believe I just discovered them today due to (of all things) one of those annoying vevo advertisements while trying to listen to Blondie: “I Touch Myself” on YouTube (don’t judge me! Lol) Give them a listen to, you won’t be disappointed!

Here’s a good one to start at: “Radioactive”.

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DOES OUR LGS DEFINE US?

Back on topic. I’ve played at most of the stores in London (Worlds Away, LA Mood, Imperial Hobbies, Freshers) but I still need to make it to “The Game Chamber” (One day Tim! One day!) which is the store that started this entire kerfuffle by daring to ask the question: “Would you pay to play at an FNM”?

There are pros and cons both ways, and to be honest I’m fairly impartial. I play at Imperial Hobbies on Friday because it’s clean (not saying the other stores aren’t!), the players are friendly, and it’s closest in proximity to my bar of choice: Ale House (1/2 price apps after 8pm and $12 pitchers of Keiths… hard to beat that deal!).

Now back in the day I can’t say that I didn’t have a problem with certain individuals who would cause undue drama. Rule sharking at FNMs, arguing with each other and generally causing a negative vibe for those who just wanted to sling some cardboard and reminisce the good old days when they were trading dual lands for Sorceress Queens. I feel that those people in question have “grown” a lot in the past few years and that the stereotypes that many associate with them don’t necessarily apply anymore. Regardless of past “sins”, certain stores have also developed stereotypes; whether it’s that their full of sharks, full of newbies, full of rules lawyers, whatever. People associate certain stores with a certain level or tier of gaming already, and would having an entry fee really change any of that? I personally believe that store loyalty is a huge factor and that if a store suddenly decided to charge $5, I doubt it would greatly affect their player base. As one poster pointed out we’re paying hundreds of dollars for a deck… what’s another $5 to play it and support your LGS? Maybe that can be considered a callous attitude, but it’s realistic. This isn’t a cheap hobby. We’re not playing tiddly-winks or jax where all you need is a bouncy ball and a few pieces of plastic here… this is the big times where you’re paying $4 a pop for 15 random cards. I’d go so far as to say that it’s the minority who CAN afford to play magic but CAN’T afford to pay a token nominal fee to actually play somewhere.

So could it be that it isn’t so much an entry fee that they may have a problem with, but what it may cause?


COMPETITION = A BAG OF DICKS?

Lately my only negative magic experiences have been when there is a prize on the line. Even I can be a bit of a jerk when I really want to win, and I doubt that there’s anyone out there who’s so saintly they can say they haven’t been at least a little “vocal” about a loss, or said something akin to “no takebacks” or “sorry, you forgot” when they’re fighting for first place and a prize… even if that prize is just a crappy FNM foil card. Now if you’ve got 20 people who’ve each paid $5 into a pool and you’re looking at first place getting $50 credit, 2nd earning $20, 3rd – 4th getting $10 each and the last $10 spent on door prizes that competitive nature is sure to show up more often, and be compounded. This “fun game” you started off intending to play has suddenly become a stressful event where REL level 0 gets thrown out the window and you’re playing in your own little mini pro-tour every Friday. Those who are adverse to conflict will naturally gravitate to a less competitive (read: less hostile) environment, perhaps abandoning the game altogether because “it’s just not worth getting into fights over”. Again this may be a minority, but people are people, and it takes all of us to form a community.

It’s also been expressed that people feel that they’d just be “giving away” their entry fee to the better players, the ones who consistently win every week. They think “I have no chance of winning, so why bother”? The counter point to that seems to be that experienced players “teach” the beginners by beating them down week after week. Sure, you can learn some interesting card interactions and obscure rules when you’re facing a “local pro”, but oftentimes it comes down to them playing a Rubblebelt Raiders ($1) and the “pro” playing a Huntmaster of the Fells ($30). Them playing a Terramorphic Expanse ($0) and the “pro” playing a shockland ($10+).

I honestly feel that the above statement is a fallacy.


HAVING GOOD CARDS DOESN’T MAKE YOU A GOOD PLAYER

You can most certainly buy yourself every card in that SCG open winning decklist and still go 0-X. There is a reason why some players not only win a lot of FNMs, but also seem to consistently win at sealed and drafts where all the cards are random, not just a big pile of mythics and gold.

·         Experience and knowing how to play.
·         Understanding the mana curve.
·         The nature of control / midrange / aggro decks.
·         Holding cards and bluffing.
·         Taking damage instead of blocking.
·         Not overcommitting into boardwipe.
·         Making 2-for-1’s.
·         Planning for the environment and metagame.
·         Knowing the rules.

This is just the tip of the iceberg that is the knowledge that better players have to impart on the newer ones.

Now if those newer players never get the chance to play against the better ones, how are they to learn? Is it worth paying that $5 in order to lose so that in the long term you win because you learn to play better? Is it better to pay, play, lose, and learn… or simply to continue making the same mistakes over and over because of an inbred playgroup that doesn’t understand that saving a Searing Spear for killing a creature when your opponent goes to recast that Rancor would be a better play than letting the Rancor resolve and spearing it after?

I think we can all agree that it’s beneficial to play against better players so that you DO get to learn about all of the above.


WHY DO WE DO WHAT WE DO?

In the end you have to ask yourself: “Why do I play magic”?

Am I playing just to have some fun with a few friends and test out weird and wacky decks, or am I in it to win it? Do I take pleasure from seeing my pet deck go 1-X, or do I leave disgusted unless I put up a minimum X-1 record?

Different people have different reasons for playing. Personally, I like to win with decks that people haven’t seen before, but that doesn’t mean I’m not packing them full of Restoration Angels and Thragtusks. I take a great amount of pride in knowing that the Jund list I posted months ago is almost identical to the ones that people are now starting to say is the most “consistent”! THAT is worth more to me than winning, and I continue to move on to other new decks because I enjoy the challenge. Others may just play the “best deck” all season. Others may just love Pack Rat and want to jam it into everything they build. Heck, my buddy Dobbs is working on a Biovisionary deck and I’m sure he doesn’t expect to X-0 every tournament with it!

Now would Dobbs pay $5 and still use said Biovisionary deck? Not likely. That’s when he’d break out his Grull blitz deck and smash face.


THE LGS EVOLUTION EXPERIMENT

I would love to see a well-established store try and break the status quo and run an FNM while charging $5, because here’s how I think that would work:

1)      That store would LOSE a few players who feel that they have no chance of winning.
2)      That store would LOSE a few players who don’t want to spend the $5.
3)      That store would GAIN a few players who feel they could win and want a better prize.
4)      That store would GAIN a few players who don’t play right now because it’s a “waste of time”.
5)      That store would draw the more competitive players.

So they’d lose a few, gain a few, and become the “competitive” store.

I feel there’s opportunity here! In fact, I think it would actually get MORE people playing magic! It makes sense and here’s why:

The players who leave that store would still play, but somewhere else. BUT there would be the influx of players who’ve always existed, but didn’t want to bother playing 5 hrs of magic for minimal reward. So you’re actually getting MORE people out to play, they’re just spread out!

Could this be a win-win situation for our little community? Could a store take the reins and become the “training ground” for competitive players, while those who just want to have fun still get to do so?

… It really gives you something to think about, doesn’t it?


GREAT RISK, GREAT REWARD?

Now do I think that every store is suited to run with this tournament model? Obviously not. But do I think there are a few stores here in London that could pull it off? I sure do. And what’s the harm in experimenting? It’s not like you couldn’t just switch back in the unlikely event that attendance drops to zero. We’re all so connected via social media these days it wouldn’t be hard to take a month and test it out… you may have some “unexpected results”!

This can of worms has been opened on a public forum and the 91 replies (and counting) show a divided community. The gauntlets been thrown. 10 paces have been counted. Someone’s been slapped in the face with a flaccid leather glove.

The balls in your court store owners, the future is yet unwritten…


Me? I just want my cheap wings and beer and the company of my crew. :P

Cheers,

Carl Szalich

Monday, 11 March 2013

Going Deep and the SCG Effect


A TID-BIT ABOUT PRIME SPEAKER ZEGANA

In my previous article I talked a little bit about Prime Speaker Zegana and how I thought she was good but situational, and that situational is often bad. Seems like I’ve been put in my place as her upside overshadows the occasional time when she’s a “1/1 draw 1 for 6”, as there are results to back her up!

I think a lot of people were skeptics like me and thought that her variance made her undesirable and that kept her price deflated… until now.

Although I wasn’t yet appreciating the broken things she could do, my friend Eric informed me that a deck called “Prime Speaker Bant” (piloted by Andrew Shrout) took first place at a Star City Classic on 3/3/2013 and was running her as a 3x main. I still thought to myself “Meh, I guess she’s OK then, I mean it IS the ONLY blue spell (main) in his deck so there has to be SOME merit behind it.”

Here’s a link to his deck so you can see for yourself:

Now I like to speculate on cards almost as much as I enjoy playing, and when a Mythic rare starts showing up as 3x main in big tournament winning decks, I take notice from a financial standpoint if not a playing one. She seemed reasonably priced at $5 on eBay, so I picked up 2x playsets for $43 shipped. Worst case scenario she’d already been showing up on some buylists for $4 so I’d be down $11 overall. Not a huge risk, and I’m in profit city should they explode.

I think it’s important to remember that rares have a hard time holding significant value due to the quantity that are opened. You are far more likely to open a Boros Reckoner than a Prime Speaker Zegana. The odds of getting a Mythic Rare in a pack are 1:8 so in a big set like Gatecrash with 15 mythics and 53 rares, that means that the odds of getting any particular Mythic Rare in a pack of gatecrash are 1:120.

That’s right. You open 1 Prime Speaker Zegana every 120 packs… or about every 3.33 boxes. That means that to get those 3x Prime Seakers you need to open 3.33 x 3 = 10 boxes. That’s a lot of boosters that need to be opened for just 1 person to play a Prime Speaker Bant! And now that the deck is “a real thing” I’ll bet a lot MORE people are going to want to play it which means either crack 10 boxes or pay the piper based on its rarity / demand.


A JONATHAN MEDINA STORY (AKA WHY HE’S THE MAN!)

Big props to Jonathan Medina and his site www.legitmtg.com. Since I’m Canadian it’s hard for me to use TCG player so I often hit up Jon’s site when I need to make a bulk order. He had a nice stack of PSZ (<- that’s right, she’s getting the BBE / FOW abbreviation treatment lol) listed @ $7, which was about what eBay was closing at so I bookmarked the deal and did a little more snooping before coming back to him.

I hit refresh… and his price was up to $14.99.

What the?!? Seemed like what I was guessing the price would RISE to, but at the time it was more than double what I could pay elsewhere. I closed the browser window and chuckled to myself.

“Well played Mr. Medina… well played.”

This morning I had a little discussion with him on Facebook about Prime Speaker Zegana and he said that he’d raised the price to where he thought it would fall after the weekend. Lo and behold, SCG raised their price to 14.99 this morning as well.

I jokingly mentioned that I was a hair trigger away from buying him out of his stock @ $7 and he replied:

“I would have shipped them all too! :P”

Jonathan Medina = a class act.


BACK IN SCG LA-LA LAND

Over the weekend at the most recent Star City Games (Indianapolis: 774 players… a new SCG Open attendance record!) 3 of the top 8 decks were running Prime Speaker, so at this point she HAD to be good.

From a speculator standpoint, I didn’t wait to see if one of them won the entire event or not (it didn’t) before buying more. Just the fact that there were 9x main deck Zegana in the T8 was enough for me to go deep. I bought 2x more playsets @ $26 each… the price was already increasing since Friday.
I then hit up my LGS’s and picked up those I could find at their then current value of $7. If I’m willing to buy online for $6.5, I can support my locals for $7. I find getting the QUANTIITY I need locally is often the problem, not the pricing. They didn’t exactly have the 30+ I was looking for just sitting in their cabinets waiting for me to come buy them all lol.


SPIKES AND RIPPLES

Another friend of mine (Sigmund Ausfresser @sigfig8 on Twitter, a QS writer) is not so sure on buying in. He just posted to my FB a valid point:

Sigmund: “There are over 100 under $10 [on TCGplayer]. You think they’ll be bought up so quickly? Not so sure… highest buy price still hasn’t moved. Still $4…”

I told him I was writing an article on it so he’ll just have to wait for me to post this before getting my long winded reply. My hands are getting tired and my glasses are starting to hurt the bridge of my nose, so let’s get to the meat of the matter: Why I think she’s going up.


HAVE YOU MET MY PET ROBOT?

I remember in 1996 or so when I started playing magic that the only way to really gage prices was to buy a magazine called Scrye or later on, Inquest. Kids these days are all about newfangled technology like smart phones and websites that do all the work for them (Examples include www.mtgstocks.com, www.legitmtg.com & www.quietpspeculation.com). Almost every single LGS in my area uses SCG for pricing singles. This leads to a few interesting things that start happening:

From a LGS / Trade perspective:

  1. LGS’s increase the prices of their cards to match SCG and start taking trade based on SCG. That means that as of today, I can expect to get trade in value for my PSZ = $15 – whatever % the store takes off. If that’s 33%, I’m still getting $10 each. If it’s 50%, I’m just above breaking even at $7.5.
  2. Regular humans will now value PSZ @ $15 in trade. This means in trade when we both use SCG prices, I’ve already doubled up.

Now let’s see what this does from a buyer / speculator angle:

  1. All of the sites that use JavaScript to crawl through SCG’s prices and compare yesterday’s value to today’s will show PSZ with a 100%+ price increase between Saturday Mar 09 and Today. This of course leads to a speculator feeding frenzy because no one likes to miss out on the “next big card” when it can still be had for “cheap” in some places. Which results in:
  2. Speculators buying up all of the PSZ’s that were “underpriced” ($10 is only 66% what SCG is asking… what a deal amiright?). This inevitably leads to:
  3. People who need the card not being able to find it for cheap because they’ve all been bought up so need to pay the new $15ish price which means that:

I call this second set of points “The SCG effect”.

From a player perspective:

  1. The new price is $15ish… at least for a while until everyone gets their fill.

A BOMB IN A NUTSHELL

PSZ is a powerful card. Here’s the perfect storm that I believe will keep it high:

  • The SCG effect
  • It’s a big set mythic
  • It’s a great commander Card
  • It draws you cards
  • It has results to back up its price
So that’s why I think Prime Speaker Zegana is going to get its bump and maintain it. Maybe not to $15 cash (I’m thinking $10-12 in real money), but doubtful it will ever sink back to $5-6.

So this article was about PSZ, but just as much an example of the thought process I use when I’m looking into going deep on card investing.

Remember that there are NO guarantees when you speculate!!! I can’t stress this enough. I’ve won big (Thundermaw Hellkite / Hellrider) and I’ve lost big (I’m looking at you 50+ copies of Hellion Crucible), but at all times I was prepared to accept a loss.

Heck, I could even still lose on the 30+ PSZs I’m holding! lol


A PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT

I do NOT advocate speculating on cards If you can’t handle losing ALL of your $, because there is no guaranteed method to succeed. Watch trends and go with your guts. Because there will be tears… of joy, and sometimes sadness.


Cheers, and may all your PSZs enter play with a Thragtusk on board and a Restoration Angel in hand!

Carl Szalich

Saturday, 2 March 2013

STANDARD DEKTEK – RUG Midrange

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HOLY VIDEO GAME INTERLUDES BATMAN!!

Has anyone else reading this ever played “Dragon Age: Origins”? If you have, then you probably know why I haven’t written in a while… it’s so good! I stopped playing video games for a long, long time and focused solely on collecting retro titles, but after beating DA:O (and its “Awakenings” expansion) I had to start on “Dragon Age 2” immediately. I’ve now conquered it, and am back on DA:O again for a second (comprehensive) play through that includes the downloadable content (found a copy of the game of the year edition for only $15 at EB games!). This will become my “cannon” storyline for when I inevitably replay DA2.

Oh Morrigan, look what you've done to me! :P

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BACK TO OUR REGULARILY SCHEDULED PROGRAM

If there’s anything you’ve picked up on in my DEKTEK series it’s that I love card advantage and life gain in such a heavy aggro meta. You’ve probably also noticed my fondness of the quality R/G spells that reoccur throughout my decks  in: Thragtusk, Huntmaster of the Fells, Thundermaw Hellkite & friends. It had been a while since I’d played anything with blue in it, and I was kinda missing my good friend Snapcaster so I had a crazy thought… why not just mix Snapper in with all my other favorite cards, throw in a few Izzet Charms and counterspells, bake for 45 minutes at 350 and see what happens??

Now I’m behind on my deck updates so this one that I’m posting went 8-1-1 over two 5 round FNM’s last month PRE-GATECRASH. There was no Boros Reckoner in the format so the deck was probably better at that time stamp, but there are new cards that came out (I’m looking at you Prime Speaker Zegana!) that would probably improve it as well so I’m not writing it off. If I had to choose between this and Naya though? Hmmm…


CARL SZALICH’S MIDRANGE RUG DECK

SPELLS (17)
2x Cyclonic Rift
4x Farseek
3x Mizzium Mortars
4x Searing Spear
4x Izzet Charm

CREATURES (14)

4x Snapcaster Mage
4x Daybreak Ranger
4x Huntmaster of the Fells
4x Thragtusk
3x Thundermaw Hellkite

LANDS (24)

2x Kessig Wolf Run
4x Sulfur Falls
4x Steam Vents
3x Rootbound Crag
3x Hinterland Harbor
2x Breeding Pool
2x Stomping Ground
2x Forest
1x Mountain
1x Island

Note: I added the Breeding Pools / Stomping Grounds after the fact, and if I had a 3rd of each I’d probably add them as well in place of their Crag / Harbor bretheren.

SIDEBOARD (15)

3x Essence Scatter
2x Negate
3x Flames of the Firebrand
4x Counterflux
2x Garruk, Pimal Hunter
1x Niv-Mizzet, Dracogenius


SIDEBOARDING STRATEGIES

By now you know the drill:

Bring in Flames (and possibly Essence Scatter depending on if you see Cavern of Souls) vs. aggro.
Bring in Garruks and other cards that complement the match vs. midrange.
Bring in Garruk, Counterflux, Niv-Mizzet and Negate vs. control.


ABOUT SIDEBOARDING…

I think I should write an article about how to properly prepare a sideboard, as although I know the theory, I haven’t been following it. Maybe by writing it all out it will help me actually follow through with making my sideboard the way it should be instead of throwing in a bunch of cards that are just “good in certain matchups” and that you don’t end up using, even when you end up in the match that you had intended!


WHAT WOULD I CHANGE TODAY?

My big thing these days is running 25 mana. When you’re trying to get snapper online (aka have 4 mana available) or cast one of the many 5 drops, that 25th land is as strong as a super Saiyan Goku. I wish this deck had a “Bonfire of the Damned” or “Sphinxs’s Revelation” to dump all that mana into, but Kessig Wolf Run works just as well. In fact, that 25th land should almost BE a 3rd Kessig as I believe it’s important to trample over opposing Boros Reckoners and lingering soul tokens now more than ever. It would also help get us to that tricky 6-7 land mark where we can start overloading our Mizzium Mortars and Cyclonic Rifts. There haven’t really been any color issues with the mana base thusfar, so I think the fact that Wolf Run produces colorless is a non-issue.

I really want to like Prime Speaker Zegana for the dream for Thragtust -> Zegana draw 5 cards potential, but have a hard time justifying what could potentially end up as a 1/1 vanilla draw 1 for 6. If I had access to Restoration Angel I think she’d be better. Right now I’m on the fence about adding one just to test her out, but I’m not sure if I want to give up the consistency of true threats to play her.  I was originally running a Niv-Mizzet main but ended up taking it out because (bar having 8+ mana when you cast) it had no immediate enter the play effect. Prime Speaker DOES have an EtB effect, but it’s circumstantial. It all boils down to this question: Are EITHER of them as good as a Thundermaw Hellkite or Thragtusk?


THE SUM OF ALL TOTALS

I think that since Boros Reckoner has become such a huge part of the metagame that this deck may not be as well positioned as it once was, but still has a great deal of potential. Sure against a Reckoner you’ll sometimes get 2-for-1’d when you have to Searing Spear them, but at least you have an answer, and some CA of your own to get back in the game.

This deck is another aggro crusher, as the entire deck save Farseek and Thragtusk can be considered removal in some fashion or another. If you’re playing in a heavy aggro meta, this list is a fine choice. On my first tournament attempt with the deck I was running counterspells main, but found that my opponents always had a Caverns or two in play so abandoned that plan in favor of direct damage. There is nothing worse than holding an Essence Scatter and having your opponent T5 play a cavern naming beast then resolve a Thragtusk. I seriously wanted to shred and eat my Essence Scatter when that happened to me (Obv I’d remove it from its sleeve first though, what do I look like to you… a barbarian??).


AS AN ASIDE

I haven’t been totally useless this past little while. If you have a premium membership to www.quietspeculation.com I had another theory article published there about how to identify cards with future potential. It’s particularly relevant in this age of “OMG Daybreak Coronet went from $1 to $20 in a week!”.




‘Till next time, keep Abrupt Decaying those Reckoners in response to their Boros Charms!

Carl Szalich